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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Fed”

How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting
October Meeting80%
September Meeting
September Meeting70%3 more
$1.86MVol. Oct 29fed
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

No change91%
25 bps increase30%3 more
$417KVol. Oct 28fed
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other
Other70%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause59%7 more
$653KVol. Sep 16fed
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps)54%
0 (0 bps)39%4 more
$97KVol. Dec 31fed
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other
Other84%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Pause–Pause–Pause42%7 more
$608KVol. Oct 28fed
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

0
25%YesNo
1
22%YesNo
$3.0KVol. Dec 9fed
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

No change
No change76%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase51%3 more
$1.2KVol. Dec 9fed
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

No change
No change75%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase32%3 more
$706.54Vol. Jan 27fed
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$753.44Vol. Dec 31fed
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

4%

chance

YesNo
$318KVol. Dec 31fed
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

11%

chance

YesNo
$5.9KVol. Dec 31fed