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Prediction markets

124 active markets · category “AI”

How to trade
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

July 31
July 3199%
August 31
August 3199%2 more
$1.34MVol. Dec 31ai
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

1%

chance

YesNo
$531KVol. Jul 31ai
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

1450+
1450+99%
1520+
1520+1%5 more
$508KVol. Dec 31ai
GPT-5.6 released on...?

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 999%
July 1467%37 more
$1.01MVol. Jul 31ai
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1510+99%
1500+99%4 more
$226KVol. Dec 31ai
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

August 31
August 3199%
August 21
August 2190%8 more
$427KVol. Jul 31ai
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1490+
1490+99%
1480+
1480+99%2 more
$37KVol. Dec 31ai
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

25%

chance

YesNo
NEW $26KVol. Dec 31ai
Which company has best AI model end of August?

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic
Anthropic99%
Company A67%30 more
$526KVol. Aug 31ai
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+
1480+1%
1440+
1440+1%1 more
$65KVol. Dec 31ai
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+1%
1480+1%2 more
$25KVol. Dec 31ai
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Alibaba
Alibaba84%
Other67%23 more
$55KVol. Aug 31ai